That's what First Beverage Financial managing director John
O'Connor said about two recent southeast distributor deals in
Florida and North Carolina (likely talking about the Reyes purchase
of Schenck in the blue-silver system, and R.A. Jeffrey's purchase
of Harris in the red system). "Chatter on the street was
that the prices were extraordinarily high relative to what the
market has seen in the past," writes John. In fact we've
heard north of $250 million for Schenck's 13 million cases or
+$19.20 a case, although prices weren't disclosed. John
notes that these rumors don't "help the often discussed 'price gap'
between buyers and sellers that has helped stall consolidation in
the beer distribution network." Indeed, now everybody wants
that price.
But John points out that these deals were extraordinary for
several reasons. "You have two well-capitalized buyers
seemingly stepped up and met the seller's price" due to
"synergistic benefits from implementing a different, likely more
profitable, operating model" plus "significant strategic benefits
for owning that particular territory. Maybe they wanted to plant a
flag that would lead to greater growth opportunities down the
road," ie Reyes establishing a beachhead in Florida.
Regardless of the sky high prices paid, John points out that the
one thing we do know is that "they didn't buy the past performance
of the business; they bought the cash flows they think they will
extract going forward. Figuring in these benefits to the buyers,
you might have a different perspective of those big numbers. By the
way, to the sellers, I say CONGRATS, your stars were seemingly
aligned."
But for the rest of distributors out there, the " knight in
shining armor" may or may not be out there for you, says John.
"Don't get me wrong, there is in almost every circumstance
an optimal buyer. You have to bear in mind, however, that you may
not be in the sexiest of locations. As such, the strategic premium
might not be available to you."
So how do you find that premium buyer? "You may need to
cast a wider net and you may want assistance in this process," says
John, making the plug. Bottom line: "Find out what your
business is really worth and more importantly, figure out how much
your business is worth to someone else," and "do your
homework." (Ed. Note: First Beverage's Bill Anderson
will be speaking at our Beer Summit in two short weeks in
Miami. See ya there).